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Daily Alpha Report: Thursday, August 20, 2026

DAILY
2026-08-20
Generated 8/20/2026, 3:13:03 PM

Daily Alpha Report: Thursday, August 20, 2026

Generated at 2026-08-20T15:13:03.792Z

Executive Summary

TSM leads the alpha ranking at 73.3.
MU saw the biggest surge (+23.3 alpha).

Alpha Leaderboard

RankTickerAlphaChange
#1 (+2)TSM73.3+1.8
#2 (—)AMZN72.7+0.8
#3 (+6)AVGO72.5+8.3
#4 (+19)MRVL70.6+13.2
#5 (+1)GOOGL70.5+1.2
#6 (-5)NVDA69.7-2.5
#7 (+40)MU68.8+23.3
#8 (-4)MSFT68.7-2.2
#9 (-1)AMD68.0+3.3
#10 (-3)AMAT67.4+1.0

Notable Movers

  • TSM: 2 positions up (alpha +1.8)
  • AVGO: 6 positions up (alpha +8.3)
  • MRVL: 19 positions up (alpha +13.2)
  • NVDA: 5 positions down (alpha -2.5)
  • MU: 40 positions up (alpha +23.3)

Score Decomposition

Why each major mover moved — score-component deltas plus the news drivers that fed them. Every row is auditable against the underlying snapshot.

AVGO — Alpha 72.5 (Δ +8.3)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews82.0 → 79.5-2.5news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum26.0 → 53.6+27.6price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence36.0 → 1.9-34.1alpha vs price divergence signal

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $365.01 · 24h +0.70% · 5d -7.12%

Active thesis: "AVGO positioned for AI infrastructure recovery despite near-term headwinds from custom silicon normalization" (65% confidence)

MRVL — Alpha 70.6 (Δ +13.2)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews29.1 → 75.2+46.1news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum95.2 → 54.9-40.4price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence-12.8 → 37.9+50.7alpha vs price divergence signal
alphaConfidence80.0 → 100.0+20.0data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $243.08 · 24h +2.45% · 5d +9.49%

NVDA — Alpha 69.7 (Δ -2.5)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews81.0 → 77.7-3.3news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum50.3 → 48.3-2.0price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence5.7 → 3.4-2.3alpha vs price divergence signal

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $217.63 · 24h +0.03% · 5d -3.34%

Active thesis: "NVIDIA's Data Center Dominance Drives Revenue to $200B by FY2026 Despite AI Infrastructure Maturation" (70% confidence)

MU — Alpha 68.8 (Δ +23.3)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews40.5 → 72.1+31.6news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum43.5 → 54.7+11.1price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence2.5 → 28.6+26.1alpha vs price divergence signal
alphaConfidence80.0 → 100.0+20.0data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $955.73 · 24h +1.99% · 5d -1.64%

MSFT — Alpha 68.7 (Δ -2.2)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews77.2 → 73.9-3.3news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum52.7 → 51.7-1.0price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence-0.0 → -3.4-3.4alpha vs price divergence signal

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $480.33 · 24h -0.82% · 5d -3.04%

Active thesis: "Microsoft's AI Infrastructure Dominance Will Drive Azure Revenue to $100B+ by FY2026" (72% confidence)

Divergence Radar

Stocks where alpha signal diverges significantly from price action.

  • MRVL [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +37.9, Alpha 70.6
  • KLAC [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +28.7, Alpha 59.9
  • MU [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +28.6, Alpha 68.8
  • LRCX [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +21.6, Alpha 63.7
  • ON [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +21.3, Alpha 30.9

Top Intel (24h)

  • [CRITICAL] Amazon delivery drone dumps Texas woman's parcel straight into her swimming pool — viral video surfaces the same week the company announces 500-city Prime Air expansion [AMZN] — tomshardware.com
  • [BREAKING] Pine64 halts all Linux hardware manufacturing through at least mid-2027 due to shortages — memory crunch forces open-source maker to freeze SBCs, tablets, and phones [MU, WDC, NTAP] — tomshardware.com
  • [BREAKING] Catastrophic GTA VI leak is a full working build — notorious hacker CyberLeek taunts Rockstar Games by spraying the word 'leek' onto a wall in-game with bulletstomshardware.com
  • [CONFIRMED] Marvell shares jump 9.8% on Google chip design deal [GOOGL, MRVL] — siliconangle.com
  • [CONFIRMED] SMIC posts record $3B quarter and hikes wafer prices — US sanctions hand Chinese foundry a captive AI market [TSM, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, ASML, GFS, UMC] — tomshardware.com

Active Alerts

  • DIVERGENCE (30x) (INTC, MRVL, ON...)
  • ALPHA_SPIKE (90x) (NXPI, ARM, HPE...)
  • RANK_JUMP (101x) (TWLO, COHERE, AMBA...)
  • CRITICAL_NEWS (1x) (AMZN)
  • PIPELINE_STALE (1x)
  • DEAL_WIN (6x) (MRVL, GOOGL, IBM...)

Signal Health


This report was auto-generated by Silicon Analysis. All research sections include citations to primary sources.

Signal health data unavailable
Daily Alpha Report: Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Silicon Analysis | Silicon Analysis