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Daily Alpha Report: Monday, September 28, 2026

DAILY
2026-09-28
Generated 9/28/2026, 3:16:33 PM

Daily Alpha Report: Monday, September 28, 2026

Generated at 2026-09-28T15:16:33.173Z

Executive Summary

NVDA leads the alpha ranking at 73.8.
SWKS saw the biggest decline (-33.2 alpha).

Alpha Leaderboard

RankTickerAlphaChange
#1 (+28)NVDA73.8+15.5
#2 (+14)GOOGL68.6+5.4
#3 (+23)AMZN68.2+9.6
#4 (+11)MSFT67.3+4.0
#5 (+23)OPENAI62.9+4.6
#6 (+1)AMD62.6-3.4
#7 (+45)INTC59.0+6.7
#8 (+14)ANTHROPIC58.6-3.0
#9 (—)PANW56.0-9.6
#10 (+3)ZS55.9-8.6

Notable Movers

  • NVDA: 28 positions up (alpha +15.5)
  • GOOGL: 14 positions up (alpha +5.4)
  • AMZN: 23 positions up (alpha +9.6)
  • MSFT: 11 positions up (alpha +4.0)
  • OPENAI: 23 positions up (alpha +4.6)

Score Decomposition

Why each major mover moved — score-component deltas plus the news drivers that fed them. Every row is auditable against the underlying snapshot.

NVDA — Alpha 73.8 (Δ +15.5)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews82.3 → 74.4-7.9news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum51.1 → 65.3+14.2price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence-13.9 → -9.7+4.3alpha vs price divergence signal
alphaConfidence70.4 → 100.0+29.6data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $230.46 · 24h +2.39% · 5d +1.93%

Active thesis: "NVIDIA's Data Center Dominance Drives Revenue to $200B by FY2026 Despite AI Infrastructure Maturation" (70% confidence)

GOOGL — Alpha 68.6 (Δ +5.4)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews79.5 → 76.5-3.0news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum52.3 → 47.4-4.9price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence-3.3 → 9.2+12.5alpha vs price divergence signal
alphaConfidence70.6 → 100.0+29.4data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $341.12 · 24h -0.81% · 5d -0.39%

Active thesis: "Google's AI Infrastructure Dominance Will Drive 25%+ Revenue Growth Through 2026 Despite Regulatory Headwinds" (72% confidence)

AMZN — Alpha 68.2 (Δ +9.6)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews77.5 → 79.1+1.6news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum50.6 → 42.0-8.6price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence0.6 → 17.4+16.8alpha vs price divergence signal
alphaConfidence71.0 → 100.0+29.0data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $247.27 · 24h -0.96% · 5d -1.37%

Active thesis: "AWS AI Infrastructure Dominance Drives 25% Cloud Revenue Growth Through 2025" (75% confidence)

MSFT — Alpha 67.3 (Δ +4.0)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews75.8 → 77.9+2.1news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaMomentum68.3 → 41.4-27.0price momentum component (trailing return)
alphaDivergence-4.8 → 14.4+19.2alpha vs price divergence signal
alphaConfidence82.5 → 100.0+17.5data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Price: last $508.97 · 24h -1.39% · 5d +1.88%

Active thesis: "Microsoft's AI Infrastructure Dominance Will Drive Azure Revenue to $100B+ by FY2026" (72% confidence)

OPENAI — Alpha 62.9 (Δ +4.6)

Component breakdown (only components with Δ ≥ 0.5):

ComponentPrior → CurrentΔWhat it tracks
alphaNews70.5 → 75.2+4.7news-flow contribution (sentiment × impact × recency)
alphaConfidence57.5 → 40.0-17.5data-completeness confidence weight

Top news drivers (24h):

Divergence Radar

Stocks where alpha signal diverges significantly from price action.

  • AMZN [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +17.4, Alpha 68.2
  • QCOM [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +16.8, Alpha 54.9
  • ARM [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +14.6, Alpha 28.6
  • INTC [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +14.5, Alpha 59.0
  • MSFT [SIGNAL LEAD]: Divergence +14.4, Alpha 67.3

Top Intel (24h)

  • [CRITICAL] OpenAI and Anthropic are reportedly investigating tens of thousands of AI security incidents; OpenAI pauses testing after AI 'kill switch' fails to stop a rogue agent [AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, OPENAI, ANTHROPIC] — tomshardware.com
  • [CRITICAL] Teenager hacks open Microsoft database with 17 trillion total rows and 25,000 user accounts [MSFT] — tomshardware.com
  • [BREAKING] North Korea named as primary suspect in $387 million Bitget crypto hack [PANW, CRWD, ZS, FTNT] — tomshardware.com
  • [CONFIRMED] AWS CloudWatch Omni goes after the hardest question in agentic AI: Why did the agent do that? [AMZN, SNOW, DDOG, PLTR] — siliconangle.com
  • [CONFIRMED] Nvidia debuts enhanced safety controls to rein in rogue AI agents [NVDA] — siliconangle.com

Active Alerts

  • ALPHA_SPIKE (97x) (NVDA, ARM, AI...)
  • DEAL_WIN (4x) (GOOGL, MSFT, NVDA...)
  • CRITICAL_NEWS (6x) (ANTHROPIC, OPENAI, GOOGL...)
  • RANK_JUMP (102x) (GTLB, PSTG, ORCL...)
  • DIVERGENCE (7x) (MRVL, LRCX, NXPI...)

Signal Health


This report was auto-generated by Silicon Analysis. All research sections include citations to primary sources.

Signal health data unavailable