Last Backtest
Never
Return Snapshots
0
Latest Return Date
—
Signal Reports (30d)
0
Signal Performance (30d)
Spread = top decile avg - bottom decile avg. IC = Spearman correlation (signal vs forward return).
No backtest data yet. Run /api/cron/backtest to generate.
Alert Performance (30d)
Hit Rate = fraction of alerts with positive forward return. Higher is better for bullish signals.
No alert backtest data yet.
Interpretation Guide
- Green IC ≥0.1: Strong predictive signal
- Yellow IC 0-0.1: Weak but positive signal
- Red IC <0: Negative correlation (signal inversely predictive)
- Green Spread ≥1%: Top decile outperforms bottom by 1%+
- Hit Rate ≥60%: Majority of alerts followed by positive returns
- WARN badge: 3+ consecutive days of negative IC/spread (potential drift)
Data refreshes on page load. Signal validation runs daily via /api/cron/backtest.